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Bacterium in a Jar Paradigm
What makes your brain tick?
According to researchers, the parts of your body, if you don't use it you lose
it, particularly your brain. The more you use it the more logical and brainier you
are. Could that be true?
Open Question
Exponential growth, are there any true in it ?
And the doubling in time theorem answers
One of the most basic maths we thought, we understood to be
the fundamental true in the process of exponential growth and its progress.
Somehow we can't get it in our head.
For if we could, than we would 'see' why the same amount of food we intake, cost
twice as much today than ten years ago. How could that be true ?
For example, rice cost twice as much today, compared with prices ten
years ago, and yet world food output has increased more than ten
years ago; whilst there was no exponential lost in arable land worldwide.
Was our maths wrong ?
We add the total money in the banks, the food we consume, the production of goods we use, the population and housing growth rate in
percentage term. We say the growth is exponential.
Money in the bank grows at a percentage term, electricity production and usage
growth at a steady percentage term worldwide. This growth goes on and on, year
after year, and for ever... Is there any true in it ?
The fact is exponential growth in time for quantity to increase in size is a fixed constant.
So time is the factor need for quantity to double in size, by say 100% is also
a constant.
Let's take population growth for example. We increase the height of
buildings, if population doubled in the city, and doubled the number of bus on
the road. We are better off, but are we ?
There is a sad fundamental true between percentage growth,
and the doubling ratio by the law of nature.
For example, take the size of a one cubic centimetre cube, with a cross section
of one square centimetre. That is, if we cut one face of the cube, that face is one
square centimetre, right?
Now compare this to a cube which has doubled in size, a cube with two
centimetres on each side.
Its cross-sectional area would be 2 x 2 (or 4) square centimetres, and thus its volume
will be 2 x 2 x 2 (or 8) cubic centimetres. For the same density it would have 4
times the cross section and 8 times heavier.
The true is its volume and weight multiplies much more than the corresponding
increases in cross-sectional areas; as the true nature of the exponential growth
does not reveal itself, until variable rates of growth are considered.
And historically, the ancient Chinese agrarian wisdom applies the same principle
to population growth, resources and waste, and the climate.
Bacterium in a Jar
During the 1970s energy crisis, and again during the 1980s food mountain crisis, that researchers and
their physics professor A Bartlett, highlighted their untimely analogy with bacteria growth --
the 'Bacterium in a Jar' paradigm.
Bacteria grow by division, not unlike human beings. One bacterium becomes 2 and
2 becomes 4 and 4 becomes 8 and 8 becomes 16, and so on, and on...
Suppose the division time of this bacterium is 1 minute, the steady growth rate.
And 1 of this bacteria got into an empty bottle at 11:00am, and that grow start till the bottle was full of bacteria at 12:00 noon.
The professor asks you to consider this scenario, and outline the type of
hypothesized chain events.... When was the bottle half-full?
It was found that at 2 minutes before noon, the bottle was only a quarter
(1/4) full, and three quarter (3/4) of that bottle was still empty... What happened ?
Question Time
If you were the intelligent bacterium in that bottle,
what time would you realize that soon you will run out of space?
Can you sense the danger at say 11:56am when the bottle was only 6% full (1/16
full) and had 94% of open space ?
Or suppose at 11:58am, one of you intelligent guys (bacteria) suddenly
realise that soon you will run out of space, and start getting your brain to
work.
Luck was on your side that at the nick of time @ 11:59am when the bottle was
half full, you have the technology ready to transport your people (bacteria) to
2 new empty bottles nearby, with 3 times the space that you had ever
known.
You intelligence bacteria are smart as now with three bottles, you knew that if you
don't do something now will fill them up again.
The professor asks you again ...
Suppose you are the human being (not bacteria), with your advance
technology, and seven continents including subcontinents. When will you
fill them up ?
Would you realize the size of your population say... ?
@ 11:56am -- 3 billion is too much?
Or 11:58am -- 5 billion is too little?
What about 9 billion in a generation's time ?
Do you still wonder why the same food cost more now !
Global warming will not annihilate mankind but man will...
which does made me wondered? Are we doing Iraq a favour?
Black Sea Scenario
The Black Sea weakened slowly at first and then collapsed with shocking
suddenness, has been used to compare with our Oceans as big ponds.
Where giant factory-processing ship, stay at sea for months at a time, scrapping
the deep sea-bed of our Ocean for all life forms in the bottom. These
factory-freezers kept trawling the Ocean for fish until all edible are gone by
the eve of the millennia.
And in a farm-pond, weeds growth slowly, farmers only need to occasionally clear
the weed for an ecological balance before it choke-off all life-forms in it.
Though our planet looks big, and part of it is still green because one fifth of
its forests remain, the rest have been cut and burn for domesticated cattle. The
human animals even have to cut the branch they are sitting as millennia unfold.
Now only one sixth of the forests are left on Earth.
With 100 nations importing wheat from just 6 supplying the world, that number of
suppliers will dwindle down to 3 in a generation's time.
The examples of this type of danger have a fixed ecological ratio, and we can be
deluded into thinking that there is no cause of alarm.
We celebrated on the eve of the new millennia with 6 billion people on Earth,
since another billion people have joined our party by 2010 -- 6 billion in 1999
now 6.8 and by next year today 7 billion.
The era for world population growing by 1 billion people every 10 years has
started; a count down to 5 years, 3 years, and 1 billion people per year is now
imminent in a generation's time.
Though the world accepts the CO2 another billion people could induce, but can’t
agree on the amount of methane (CH4), the potent greenhouse warming
gas, those extra billion
omnivores could emit, as
some are vegans.
Methane is a significant contributor to climate change and a third of the
world's methane (about 37%) is human induced, primarily from our meat producing
cattle, chicken or pig. With an annual growth rate of about 2%, a generation from now
(or 35 years), our livestock
will consume 1.3 billion tons of fodder (animal feed) alone.
Incidentally, methane (CH4) is also dubbed the mega-fart of mother Earth, and is
in prodigious quantities in many part of the world, from permafrost to frozen
bogs and underneath sea bed or by-products of oil fields, exported as liquefied
natural gas. But by the state of human nature, the half-life of methane ultimately decomposed
to form carbon dioxide.
And the scariest scenario by glaciologists was to build a city in Greenland, where
human activities will force the ancient glacial ice mountains down to sea, which
is enough to lower sea temperature worldwide, to restore climate equilibrium.
What a pseudoscience.
Which does made me wondered? Why earlier in the year (2009), Greenland was
declared an independent nation state, for possible migration as a result of
population growth.
Ecological Footprint
The term ‘ecological footprint’ is to let people know how much they consume
of nature’s resources and their waste discharged back on Earth. On the eve of
the millennia, there was 5.3 acres of land on
average to support each person on Earth, now is down to 4.9 acres.
And with
developed nations consume on average per head, about 9 acres of the Earth’s
resources each, while the 3rd world and emerging nations consume
on average below 3.5 acres per head.
A nation is said to have an ecological deficit, if the number of acres
needed to support its lifestyle is greater than the number of acres that
existed in that nation, they are all developed nations.
The number of ‘ecological footprint’ surplus nations has
now dwindled down to three in our universe; even India and China consume on average
about 4 acres per head of the Earth's natural resources each.
In a generation’s time, the average number of acres available will drop
down to 3 for each person on Earth, whilst consumption of the nature’s
resources is rapidly increasing, an ecological imbalance already happened.
An American study titled 'land, food and population growth' suggested that
our ‘One World’ will have to reduce her population by two-third to be
ecologically sustainable.
That number, coincide with the ancient Chinese agrarian wisdom, the term
'mere subsistence' meant 2-3 acres of arable land per head was need, in order
to avoid the most gruesome famine during draughts, for a given population in
that nation.
This ancient Chinese agrarian philosophy of sustainable land, gave a whole new
dimension to the science of ecological footprint, which was based on global
hectares per capita.
The postulated sustainable populations figure by eco-scientists, meant if
the than maximised world populations all stand still, can be ecologically
sustainable. What a load of pseudoscience.
Even by today’s fossil fuel era of Anthropocene climate, one-third of the
world's workforce is still employed in agribusiness, while all governments
subsidize agrarian activities for food security, though agriculture only
account for 5% of the GDP, or gross world aggregate product of exponential
growth.
Since the millennia, this one world footprint uses the equivalent of 1.3
Planet Earth to provide the resources we need today, while our pH neutral
water sources are depleting fast due to industry, food, and population growth, and
is firmly locked in a vicious cycle of demand -- One world one dream same
nightmare.
Sleeping On the Job
According to the ancient agrarian records, historically, Chinese imperial navy
has been surveying the outside world every few hundred years.
Last
reported survey was about 500 years ago (or the Ming dynasty); indicate that there was no cause of
alarm.
The recurring Black Death pandemic - bubonic plague has almost wiped out Western
aboriginal. Population outside of China was a few tens of millions.
But the resilient population bounced back, leading to the Westphalia accords and
formulated land-grab policies. By the 19th century, this great scale migratory
movement was unprecedented; as a result of massive famines throughout Europe was
a perennial issue.
And thus, deforested four out of seven Continents, for cattle and population
growth, single-handedly ratchet up the speed of climate change during little Ice
Ages.
Intellectual migrant workers returning home today greeted by their natives as
the ‘White man’s nigger’ from the West, whilst the ‘White man’s burden’
label for colour still afresh.
The Western aboriginal won the world yesterday, not by the superiority of its
ideas or values, but rather by its superiority in applying organized violence.
The West today tries to forget that historical fact, but the rest of the world
never does.
Today, Caucasian population, totalling 2 billion people over 4 Continents,
accounts for about a third of the world population, and consume on average per
head, about 9 acres of the Earth’s resources each.
Satellite images revealed that in recent years, Caucasians have started
populating Greenland as well; a Greenland city is now imminent in a generation’s
time.
Which does made people wondered? Why earlier in the year (2009), Greenland was
declared an independent nation state, for possible migration as a result of
human induced climate change.
And the scariest scenario by glaciologists was to build a Greenland city, where
human activities will force the ancient glacial ice mountains down to sea, which
is enough to lower sea temperature worldwide, to restore climate equilibrium.
What a load of pseudoscience.
Migration has always been Homo sapiens’ survival strategy, by wrecking the
natural fecundity of new found Continents, you have nowhere to go. Mars is not
Homo sapiens' new frontier.
The environment and the atmosphere of the Planet Earth are common for all to
share, and the need for all to sacrifice if the 'tragedy of the common' is
to be avoided.
It behoves each of us, to work for the integrity, stability, and beauty of that
cobweb which allow all species, a brief sense of oneness with the splendours of
our Planet Earth.
Each of us are born to this Earth and nurtured by her; and each of us will
return to the Earth; all living things are born with ethical standing,
including, and not limited to human species.
The era for world population growing by 1 billion people every 10 years has
started; a count down to 5 years, 3 years, and 1 billion people per year is now
imminent in a generation's time.
Though climatologists had warned of imminent 'man-made' global warming,
yet failed to see why China controls her population growth. By the law of
nature, any decomposing body ultimately produce carbon dioxide or methane if
devoid of oxygen; both are potent greenhouse warming gases.
Thanks to the hockey stick (Keeling curve) on CO2 and satellite data on greenhouse
gases over the decades, there can be no doubt now, that human activity on Planet
Earth is changing climate levels.
World population will have to return to pre-industrial level. Any population
which sustains a negative rate of growth will halve; else nature will take her
revenge. The little Ice Age era is primarily a European and North Atlantic
phenomenon. To cut a ‘wedge’ out of the graph of rising emissions will
have to halve population. Human beings are at best selfish.
Earth system science believes that human interference to planet Earth carbon
cycle on land and at sea affects the ocean circulation, the stratosphere and its
ozone layer, and the ice of the cryosphere. The Earth’s functioning system is
now close to breakdown.
If hydroxyl decides to take a break now, our Planet Earth’s metabolism will
cease to function without her ephemeral chemical. The concentration of hydroxyl
in the atmosphere is merely one part per trillion. Our trusted janitor might resign
anytime.
Recent world food crisis provide not only a warning but also an opportunity to
examine our sustainability, for a sustainable growth in order to achieve true
security. With an annual growth rate of about 2%, a generation from now (or 35
years), our livestock
will consume 1.3 billion tons of fodder (animal feed) alone.
Biotic Potential
The biotic potential on humans has been tilted as a result of advances in
medical science. The dispersion rates per square mile on many part of the world
have reached critical points.
This tilting has also shifted our trophic levels (food chains) in the ecosystem,
the energy food chain from our primary producers - plants and photosynthetic
bacteria which harness carbon and sun light into chemical energy for our
needs has been interrupted.
Our livestock alone now produce a third of the world's (about 37%) human induced CH4 (methane), the potent
greenhouse warming gas, primarily from our meat producing cattle, chicken or pig.
Scientists found that human activities alone now responsible for over half of
the world's methane emission. CH4 is a significant contributor to
climate change, and the Kyoto protocol seeks to regulate its emission.
By
selling more thin air to put food on the table? That selling is analogous to rubbing the
poor off their meals.
What a fine theoretical frameworks of paradigm shift.
Methane is dubbed the mega-fart of mother Earth, and is in
prodigious quantities in many part of the world, from permafrost to frozen bogs
and underneath sea bed or by-products of oil fields, exported as liquefied
natural gas. By the state of human nature, the half-life of methane ultimately
decomposed to form carbon dioxide.
Zero population grow in which a population remain stable, occurs only when the
birth and death rates are equal. As any population which sustains a negative rate of growth will halve or any
population which sustains a positive rate of growth will double; and
by the law of nature, if we reduce world population by half, human
induced emissions will reduce by a quarter.
Charity starts from home, such as China's
population growth rate formula, which by 2050 both human induced
emissions and population issue can be significantly rectified. Recent world food
and credit crisis had already pay dividend to an educated and prosper nation, a shock to
the critics.
Bio-Capacity
Population and waste is mathematically linked to sources and the climate, to cut a
‘wedge’ out of the graph on rising emissions will have to halve population. Take
the biosphere and the climate for example.
Our mother Earth has a bio-capacity - the natural absorption rate of organic
carbon in the soil mantle, but the human animals have already discharged double
that figure, with the developed nations being the biggest contributor and
preacher of recycling, whilst shipping millions of tons of solid waste to
another geological cleft.
In a vicious dose-dependent cycle, such amount of toxic waste affects global
geochemical cycle; further contribute to the shifting in climate and trophic
levels (food chains) in the ecosystem, known as the bio-magnification. What a wise eclecticism.
The volume of solid waste discharged in the Earth’s biosphere has reached a
geological figure (landfill site figure) of 400 million tons per annum and
rising, in a generation's time, mankind will suffocated in its own garbage.
What is a toxic waste to humans is a food source for insects and micro
organisms, and the chemicals that concentrated in the droppings of the birds are
food for vegetations; ultimately find their way in our food source, that the
experts called ‘bio-magnification’ or health hazard.
The natural absorption rate of organic carbon in the soil mantle is estimated 42
million tons annually. Human discharge of organic carbon had reached 85 million
tons per annum – doubled the Earth's natural absorption ability.
Zero population grow in which a population remain stable, occurs only when the
birth and death rates are equal.
By the law of nature, any organic body when decomposed will produce carbon
dioxide or methane if devoid of oxygen; both are potent greenhouse warming gas,
then the world will have to eliminate landfill site practice or cemeteries.
Sustainable Planet Earth
As human populations grow and expand, indigenous populations of plants, insects
and animals start getting squeeze out of the human habitats.
That's bad news to the indigenous as native aboriginal Australians had pointed out,
that disappearing species play a vital role in the ecological systems important to human well beings.
Humans depend on a vast interconnected network of organisms other than our own
species. Examples as plants take in carbon dioxide and convert it to oxygen, and pull
water out of the ground to filter the atmosphere, and supply us clean air and water as rain.
Insects and micro organisms such as bacteria and fungi interact with
(pollinating) plants and animals in ways that provide food for other organisms,
including humans.
It behoves each of us, to work for the integrity, stability, and beauty of that
cobweb which allow all species, a brief sense of oneness with the splendours of
our Planet Earth.
Each of us are born to this Earth and nurtured by her; and each of us will
return to the Earth; all living things are born with ethical standing,
including, and not limited to human species.
The environment and the atmosphere of the Planet Earth are common for all to
share, and the need for all to sacrifice if the 'tragedy of the common' is
to be avoided.
We would be unrealistic to assume a continued increase in
food supply to support an exponentially growing population.
The true nature of the exponential growth in population
does not reveal itself until variable rates of growth are considered.
By the law of nature, any population which sustains a negative rate of growth
will halve, or any population which sustains a positive rate of growth will
double. To cut a ‘wedge’ out of the graph of rising emissions will have to halve
world population. Human beings are at best selfish.
It took nature tens of thousands of years to build up a population of just half
of a billion people, but within our life time, world population had gone up
to 6.8 billions today.
Anthropoid Climate
You know, global warming actually improves global agriculture variability towards
the Holocene climates 11,500 year BP to the present, and had sustained the growth
and development of modern society.
Holocene climate optimum period roughly in the intervals of 9000 to 5000
years BP, or before the 1950-based radiocarbon dating reference time scale and paleoecology digs, and DNA.
During Holocene climates, increased rainfalls facilitate the development of
agriculture, village communities, and eventually cities by human-kind in all part
of the world.
Holocene climates in south-western part of North America, the
Mediterranean, Middle East, Ukraine, India and China, as well as Northern
Africa all received more rainfalls than they do today.
Thus Sahara desert than was a lush Savannah punctuated with rivers and lakes
that supported life and human domesticated cattle, and later culture as well as
agriculture spread into Europe.
But dogma has it, that such planetary elliptical orbits is a spin, causing
Holocene climate change; and opt for a fossil fuel era of Anthropocene climate.
Where are they heading, Heaven knows, perhaps global warming will annihilate us,
Anthropoid after all.
Nomenclature
Mankind blindly believe in nomenclature, because historically economic success has a close correlation between
growth and the climate, the mechanism between the two may spur in early human activity that
economic, as well as cultural development always concentrated on warmer part of the
world, examples of such as China, India or Egypt.
The predicted rate of economic growth has important implications for climate
change policy, thus the trade-off between carbons based economic growth and the
expected adverse impact on climate, partially acceptable
consequences for this growth.
And if by selling more emissions could mitigate climate change, than we are indeed doing
Iraq a favour, whilst avoiding the political
sensitive issue of world over population. And perhaps the Iraqis did sacrifices themselves to mitigate
world population explosion.
I don't see the connotation, facts are facts, don't you understood the
saying that 'people who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones', and
if we dig deeper surely will find more.
Lonesome George
Petroleum plays a vital role in food, but nitrous oxide is a by product of
fossil fuel in combustion engine, which inactivates vitamin B12 deficiency in us
by oxidation, that the experts called cobalamin.
Vitamin B12 plays a key role in the normal functioning of the brain and
nervous system, and vitamin B12 deficiency causes sensory neuropathy, myelopathy
and encephalopathy -- the inflammation in the brain, or the 'big-headedness'
literally, not a sign of intelligence else dolphins would be farming human
species.
Lonesome George is a case in point when the few big-headedness ventured into Galapagos
Islands for
food, with snout in their trotters, now shed crocodile tears with tortoise -- those
who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat in the future.
These parasitic brains are helping themselves again with fossil fuel, in the
name of global warming. A generation from now will label these rarest black
stuffs potent symbol of past industrialized civilization.
With the dispersion rates per square mile on many part of the world now reached
critical points, and the tilting of the biotic potential on human population as
a result of advances in medical science, plus the shifting in our trophic levels
(food chains) in the ecosystem.
If the remaining black stuffs are not wisely preserved for vital industrial and agricultural usage now, no military power than
can assure world security in a generation's time.
Author
©Copyright
01/03/2010
All rights reserved.
In my research and studies on the politics in global warming versus human
induced climate change, I am increasingly aware of the danger that I might be
described as a global warming sceptic.
While formalizing the scientific facts away from the climate scientists varies
published hypotheses and assumptions, I opted for a kind of simplifying device
that allows us to decide which facts mattered to our health and which does not.
Some of the research materials obtained might be regarded as unethical, and
might even be regarded as an underhand approach to climate change; however,
devices that can simplify facts, served well in highlighting the health hazard
aspect of human induced chemical pollutants, that food, population growth, and
chemical pollutants are intertwined. To cut a ‘wedge’ out of the graph of
rising emissions will have to halve population; human beings are at best
selfish.
Author
01/03/2010
Mantra: You can't cure brain death but you can prevent it from dying.
Appendix:
(1) We were lucky once as a result of fertilizer advancements, the estimated
world population than was a few tens of millions outside of China.
According to ancient agrarian records, historically, Chinese imperial navy
has been surveying the outside world every few hundred years. The last reported
survey was 1442 or the Ming dynasty; indicate that there was no cause of alarm.
Europe was in a state of recurring famines throughout, in addition to the
perennial issues of bubonic plague, and the inter-states religious warfare,
leading to the Westphalia Peace Treaties 200 years later (or 1648).
But toward the end of the recurring Black Death pandemic, the resilient
population of Europe bounced back, and within a generation, population soon
exceed food yield, war and famines were the recurring issues within the
inter-state systems.
Even in those days people been trying to draw
attention to the potential dangers of food yield and over population, examples of such as reverend
Thomas Malthus (1766-1834).
Migration has always been Homo sapiens’ survival strategy, the great scale
migratory movement was unprecedented during the 19th century, as a result of
massive famines again throughout Europe, and deforested 4 out of 7 continents
for cattle and population growth.
And towards the eve of the new millennia, the biotic potential on humans has been
tilted as a result of advances in medical science and nutritional intakes --
mainly because of improved healthcare and reduction in infant mortality.
Our life expectancy has increased from the average 70 years to the now expected
80 years. Thus since we cerebrated on the eve of the new millennia with 6
billion people on Earth, another billion people has join in the cerebration by 2010.
Advances in medical science through the understanding of
radioactive material does not senesce (age) -- though it decays and the half-life of
decay remains the same. Research has found that ageing is actually a disease
which can be cure, has lead to the development of an immortal mouse -- the
'Methuselah' mouse.
For the first time in human history, ageing is not (dying)
inevitable, though progressive loss of physical robustness that happens with
age. In other words, as we grow older, the probability of dying in the next year
would stay almost the same.
And with the advances in stem cell research, the
capability in restoring worn out or damaged body parts with stem cells is a
reality, and the potential to further develop into any of the approximately 200
different mature cell types in the human body -- muscles, heart, brain cells,
skin cells, liver, arteries and so on.
Further, actuaries have found multiple ways to stop people from going downhill,
figures indicated that long health-span people are mentally exceptionally
active, either involved in research and studies or with a
passion for art, music or intricate hobbies, as oppose to illiterate.
(2)
Population growth is mathematically linked to resources and the climate, and
China is the only nation on Earth doing something about it. Take the biosphere and the climate for example.
The natural absorption rate of organic carbon in the
soil mantle is estimated 42 million tons annually. Human discharge of organic
carbon had reached 85 million tons per annum – doubled the earth's natural
absorption ability.
The volume of solid domestic waste discharged in the Earth’s biosphere has
reached a geological figure, over 400 million tons per year. Such an enormous
amount of waste affects global geochemical cycles, further contribute to the
shifting in climates and trophic levels (food chains) in the ecosystem.
(3) Bacterium in a Jar Paradigm
The nearest possible 'jar' is Mars, which is slightly smaller than Earth, and it
rotates with an axis tilted about the same as the Earth -- thus, it has a 24
hours and 37 minutes clock and 669 Martian days in a year.
The seasons last almost twice as long as on Earth, and
will allow genetically modified plants to growth on the Martian soil
which is rich in phosphates, but the
atmospheric pressure is far too thin for humans, though the prospect
exist for large scale migration in a generation's time.
The gravity on Mars is 38% of that on Earth, though Mars has fierce gales, but
the wind exerts little force because the atmospheric pressure is only 1% of that
on Earth -- making a 100 mile per hour hurricane on Mars feel like a 1 mile per
hour breeze on Earth.
And with absent most of the Earth's sources of corrosion,
it is
suitable for large scale greenhouses farming, since the soil is considerably
richer than most land on Earth. Martian soil has plenty of
carbon, oxygen, nitrogen and hydrogen, as well as rich in minerals needed for
crop growing.
There are also mountains on Mars, that are three times
taller than Mount Everest -- Olympus for example, which is some 16 miles high, and is the largest
mountain in the solar system. There are also vast ancient volcanoes and canyons
three times deeper than the Grand Canyon.
You intelligent bacteria are smart as now with Mars as well, you knew that if
you don't do something now will fill it up again. But suppose you are the human
being (not bacteria), with your advance technology, and seven continents
including subcontinents, when will you fill them up?
Now that you will have the technology ready in a generation's time -- but what
intelligent promise can you give to your own species, that you wouldn't fill up
Mars as well in a generation's time?
( 4) Ecological Footprint
The term ‘ecological footprint’ is to let people know how much they consume of
nature’s resources and their waste discharged back on Earth.
In ancient agricultural civilization, the term 'mere subsistence' indicate 2-3
acres of arable land per head was need, in order to avoid the most gruesome
famines during draught, for a given population in that nation - arable land not
global hectares per capita.
In the 1950s, China is said to have an ecological deficit -- the number of acres
of arable land needed to support her population in case of draught, there was
massive famine. Since adopted the food yield and population growth formula, and
recent world food and credit crisis has again proved the ancient
wisdom.
In a research on ecology and agriculture at Cornell University and US National
Research Institute on Food and Nutrition study titled 'land, food and population
growth' indicated that the world will have to reduce her population by
two-third, the maximum sustainable ecology in the US is 200 million.
World Footprint
Today, humanity uses the equivalent of 1.3 Planet Earth to provide the resources
we need and to absorb our waste we discharged back on earth, that is -- it takes 1 year
and 4 months at today's rate.
In a generation's time, we will need the equivalent of two Planet Earths to
support our existing life style, while pH neutral water sources are depleting
fast due to food and population growth, and it's going to be a 'one world one
dream same nightmare' scenario.
(5) The Kyoto protocol was designed to cap global warming,
but common sense tell us that emission trading only benefit the seller. If by
selling more emissions could mitigate global warming, than selling hunger would
benefit the poor, what a tautology.
(6) Since the 1960s, China has adopted a population
growth and food yield formula, base on population which sustains a
negative rate of growth will halve; and by 2050 both human induced emissions and
population issue can be significantly rectified. Recent world food crisis had already pay
dividend to an educated and prosper nation, a shock to the critics.
(7) Ecological Footprint
In the case of coffee, about 25 million small farmers depend directly on coffee
production in over 50 countries. With increasing use of fertilisers and
pesticides since the 1980s, has led to over supply of coffee, as a result coffee
farmers’ income has declined by two-third (about 70%) by 2001.
(8) Little Ice Ages
The periods of little ice age began in the early 14th century, and flickered on
and off before peaking in late 17th century, and finally releasing its grip some
150 years ago.
At the height of the little ice age, the Baltic Sea froze over and there was
widespread famine across Europe. By 1420s Chinese surveying ships headed the
Arctic via the north coast of Greenland through to North America.
(8) Pseudoscience Tale
Pseudoscience tale of the ocean circulation system switch, that colder water
dissolves carbon dioxide faster than warmer water, in order to controlling the
ocean conveyer belt on/off switch.
And suggest the building of a city in Greenland, where human activities will
force the ancient glacial ice mountains down to sea, which is enough to lower
sea temperature worldwide, to restore climate equilibrium.
(10) During the 1980s physics professor Albert A. Bartlett
at University of Colorado highlighted the untimely analogy with bacteria growth
and the energy crisis (see table).
(11) Bio-Capacity
The natural absorption rate of organic carbon in
the soil mantle is estimated 42 million tons annually. Human discharge of
organic carbon had reached 85 million tons per annum – doubled the earth's
natural absorption ability.
The volume of solid domestic waste discharged in the Earth’s biosphere has
reached a geological figure (landfill site figure), over 400 million tons per
year. Such an enormous amount of waste affects global geochemical cycles;
further contribute to the shifting in climates and trophic levels (food chains)
in the ecosystem.
(12) The worldwide animal feed industry consumed 635 million tons of feed
(compound feed equivalent) in 2006, with an annual growth rate of about 2%.
Review Sources:
Club of Rome
Club of Rome Agenda
Global Depopulation Programme
Population Control
Wall Street Journal
Global Famine
|
Population Growth Rate |
Population Doubled |
| @
1 % |
in
70 years |
|
@ 1.5 % |
in
47 years |
| @
2 % |
in
35 years |
|
@ 2.5 % |
in
28 years |
| @
3 % |
in
23 years |
|
@ 3.5 % |
in
20 years |
| @
4 % |
in
18 years |
What's the moral in these stories?
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